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In early September, the President of Kazakhstan will again address the population with an annual message. On the eve of this event, I decided to talk to well-known economists about their expectations regarding the main political statement in the country.
We did not notice how we began to borrow from banks for almost everything. For a new phone, for a car and an apartment, for a wedding, for food, and even loans to cover other loans. And don't forget about payday loans, vacation loans, and loans again to close all these loans. As a result, today we owe trillions of tenge to banks. And this figure is not even growing every year, but from month to month.
The target of study will be the growth of the index of China in Kazakhstan in 2024, analysis of its dynamics in 2020.
Is the Red Dragon coming?
RAHIM OSHAKBAYEV IS NOT A MEMBER OF THE COORDINATING COUNCIL OF THE PARASAT ALLIANCE OF ENTREPRENEURS
This is the fourth paper in the Kazakhstan Economic Radar, Q2 2026 series. It presents the International Radar, based on an analysis of external reports on Kazakhstan's economy.
This is the fifth paper in the Kazakhstan Economic Radar, Q2 2026 series. It presents the Integrated Radar, which brings together the three underlying radars, compares their similarities and differences, and identifies cross-cutting responses.
The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz became the largest oil supply disruption in history. But the global market did not go into an uncontrolled price spiral. The shock was sharp, but shorter than the most severe forecasts had anticipated. This is a story not only about oil, but also about which forecasting methods work better under conditions of war, physical supply shortage, and high uncertainty.
