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In early September, the President of Kazakhstan will again address the population with an annual message. On the eve of this event, I decided to talk to well-known economists about their expectations regarding the main political statement in the country.
We did not notice how we began to borrow from banks for almost everything. For a new phone, for a car and an apartment, for a wedding, for food, and even loans to cover other loans. And don't forget about payday loans, vacation loans, and loans again to close all these loans. As a result, today we owe trillions of tenge to banks. And this figure is not even growing every year, but from month to month.
We may be deprived of the "buns" from Tokayev - they will forbid us to withdraw part of the pension money. Such a proposal was made by "dear experts" – in their opinion, this is how Kazakhstanis reduce their assets and in the end they will simply remain without an adequate pension.
"When developing laws and various rules, financial and industrial groups and large businesses have a great influence on decision-making. This is typical for almost all countries, including developed ones. But when this happens behind the scenes, in conditions of complete legal instability, a wide field for corruption is created. In the civilized world, politics is not formed behind closed doors," Kassym-Jomart Tokayev said last spring, speaking to deputies.
A regular meeting of the economic club was held at the site of the Kazakhstan Institute for Strategic Studies under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan, where the draft National Development Plan "Kazakhstan-2029", developed by the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan (ASPIR), was discussed. The Agency has done a lot of work on the formation of this strategy, however, experts expressed interest in reviewing and finalizing it.
The sociological service of the TALAP Center conducted a unique study on the health of Kazakhstani people.
The fourth piece concludes TALAP’s first series of publications on strategic foresight. If the previous documents presented the global context, the development of the approach, and the results of the pilot test, this infographic captures the method architecture itself: how expert data move from the initial corpus to managerial interpretation.
The next stage was a practical test of the developed approach using materials from the first quarter of 2026. TALAP processed more than 300 publications, posts and comments by economic experts in order to test the full cycle of the Expert Signal Radar.
After studying international practice, TALAP began developing its own approach to strategic foresight in Kazakhstan. Its main purpose is to connect expert observations, facts from the economic agenda and possible consequences of change into a single analytical framework.
